Roulette is a gambling game that has a relatively small house edge of 2.7%. The game is based on chance, and the roulette player might win or he might lose. The sensible roulette player will never lose more than he can afford and has the chance of winning. There will be some winners and some losers, which is the way of the world. Play sensibly by the rules and nobody will get seriously hurt. However not everybody sees roulette this way and from times immemorial people have been attempting to find foolproof ways of beating the odds and breaking the house.
Nowadays these attempts to produce foolproof ways of winning at online roulette have been has been taken over by software writers and IT experts. Unfortunately, like the roulette strategists that went before them they too are doomed to failure. The reason that their failure is inevitable is that their attempts at generating casino beating software is fundamentally flawed, in fact it is truly holed below the water line.
All roulette playing software is based on two huge errors which both result from a basic misunderstanding of the rules of probability or chance. The first of these is often referred to as the gamblers fallacy. In roulette it van be envisaged as follows. Say red comes up five times in a row. In fact the chances of this happening are 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 which is 0.03125. The gamblers fallacy states that on the next spin the chances of red are significantly greater than 0.5. It cannot be emphasised too much that this is not the case. There are equal chances that the next spin will be black or red. In fact roulette playing software often predicts quite complex sequences, and recommends on betting when that sequence has not come up for a greater time than might be expected. This is complete nonsense.
Roulette playing software also suggests the size of the bet. It uses progressive betting systems to determine the recommended bet. There are a variety of these, but they all have a common factor; that is continually chasing losses by increasing your stake. Chasing losses is just about the worst gambling strategy in the book.
Roulette is an exciting gambling game with a great tradition. It can’t be beaten by £40 or even £40,000 worth of software.
By Laura Brown
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